This module explores how far nuclear crises are manageable and what can be done to ensure that humanity avoids them in the future. It combines theory, case study work, and student-led roleplay simulations/presentations. It will first focus on the theoretical issues surrounding the concept of crisis management, exploring ideas of brinkmanship, escalation management/dominance, and de-escalation (‘off-ramps’ in the contemporary jargon). The module examines in depth a number of key nuclear crises (the Berlin Crisis of 1961, the Cuban Missile Crisis, the 2019 India-Pakistan Pulwama-Balakot crisis, and the Ukraine Crisis 2022-). The module involves a strong practical element, with students engaging in role-play simulations of some of these crises. The module will also explore the impact of emerging disruptive technologies (AI, cyber etc.) on the possibilities for managing future crises.
Learning Outcomes
By the end of the module students should be able to:
Demonstrate a sound theoretical understanding of the key conceptual issues relating to nuclear crisis management and crisis prevention.
>Demonstrate, with reference to a number of case studies, the theoretical approaches discussed on the module
Understand the psychological and emotional challenges that face decision-makers in nuclear crises
Critically reflect on the possibilities for better nuclear and crisis management in the context of new and emerging technologies (e.g. AI, cyber).
Assessment
Assessment Methods & Exceptions
Assessment: 1 x 1,000 word assignment (25%) 1x 2,500 word assignment (75%)
